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Wednesday, August 6, 2008

World Trade Report 2008

The WTO launches World Trade Report 2008: Trade in a Globalizing World
Trade has allowed nations to benefit from specialization and economies of scale to produce more efficiently। It has raised productivity, supported the spread of knowledge and new technologies, and enriched the range of choices available to consumers। But deeper integration into the world economy has not always proved popular, nor have the benefits of trade and globalization necessarily reached all sections of society। As a consequence, trade scepticism is on the rise in certain quarters.This year’s World Trade Report, entitled “Trade in a Globalizing World”, is devoted to an examination of the gains from international trade and the challenges arising from higher levels of integration. Over many years, governments in most countries have increasingly opened their economies to international trade, whether through multilateral trade negotiations, increased regional cooperation or as part of domestic reform programmes. “Few would contest the benefits that globalization and trade have brought in terms of greater prosperity for hundreds of millions, as well as greater stability among nations. But many individuals in different societies across the world have shared little or not all in the benefits. The challenges facing governments in managing globalization are formidable, and success in spreading prosperity more widely requires a strong common purpose” says WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy in an introduction to the Report.The Report explores a range of interlinking questions, starting with a consideration of what constitutes globalization, what drives it, the benefits it brings, the challenges it poses and what role trade plays in this world of ever-growing interdependency. We ask why some countries have managed to take advantage of falling trade costs and greater policy-driven trading opportunities while others have remained largely outside international commercial relations. We also consider who the winners and losers are from trade in society and what complementary action policy-makers need to take in order to secure the benefits of trade for society at large. In examining these complex and multi-faceted questions, the Report reviews both the theoretical trade literature and empirical evidence that can help to give answers to these questions.

The causes and consequences of globalization
The Report notes that the key economic characteristic of globalization is deeper integration of product, capital and labour markets. Globalization is driven by technological innovation, political change, and economic policy choices, and this process of integration has caused significant structural changes in parts of the world economy. The increased fusion of product, capital and labour markets internationally has resulted in a more efficient allocation of economic resources. Economic integration has resulted in higher levels of current output and prospects of higher future output. Capital can flow to countries which need it the most for economic growth and development. Allowing workers to move across national borders can alleviate skill shortages in receiving countries or respond to the needs in rapidly ageing societies while alleviating unemployment or under-employment in countries providing these workers. Today’s industrialized economies were the early beneficiaries of globalization in the immediate post-war period, and more recently newly industrializing economies have been among the major winners from increasing economic integration. Trade has consistently grown faster than output in the world economy, and manufactures have accounted for an expanding share of total trade. Traded services have also grown significantly, although their importance is still poorly understood as a consequence of limited data. A major evolving feature of production is the fragmentation of production processes across multiple jurisdictions. International capital flows have played a vital role in the internationalization of production, and more generally in fostering globalization.

Thursday, July 3, 2008

Pascal Lamy to focus on Agri and NAMA

TRADE NEGOTIATIONS COMMITTEE
Lamy urges “maximum effort” for July meeting of ministers
Director-General Pascal Lamy, at an informal meeting of the Trade Negotiations Committee on 27 June 2008, urged “maximum effort from everyone over the next weeks” to ensure a productive meeting of a number of ministers scheduled for the week of 21 July 2008. He said the immediate challenge is to make progress that “will provide a basis for improved texts in Agriculture and NAMA”.
Exerpts of speech
The focus now is, as I said earlier, to create convergence on Agriculture and NAMA so that the Chairs can prepare texts for ministerial consideration, either with areas where full convergence has been achieved, or with straight choices for Ministers. This means a very intensive phase of work in these areas which should culminate in the circulation of the revised texts. Obviously once the texts are out, you and your capitals will need some time to consider them. There will also be an opportunity for the full membership to react to them before we move to the final intensive phase of preparing issues for consideration by Ministers.
In particular, I believe that it will be important for me to continue with my process of consultations, which will increase in intensity and move from being more of an information exchange, towards focusing more on the substance of the topics, to adequately prepare for a ministerial discussion. I see these horizontal consultations with ambassadors and Senior Officials as key to proper preparations for a successful outcome.
Now, the timing. We are now at the end of June, so the end of July is in one month. We need a timeline to manage expectations if we are to do the deal in July, and in my view, we have to plan on a number of Ministers meeting here in the week starting 21 July. I would recommend that they be here a couple of days before in order to warm up, have bilaterals and prepare the ground.
In line with the importance we all attach to transparency and inclusiveness, the process that week will follow the pattern that has worked in the past — concentric circles of consultations with constant communication among them. This means that there will be informal meetings at the level of Head of Delegation, which will serve both to guarantee transparency and to help build consensus. I will supplement them with continuing dialogue with the regional and other groups as well as with the green room. Time will also be set aside for Group meetings and consultations.
27 June 2008